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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Cincinnati Bengals vs Philadelphia Eagles

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on running than their usual approach.

The Eagles have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 59.7 plays per game.

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) typically cause increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced rush volume.

The Bengals defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (36.6 per game) this year.

The projections expect Saquon Barkley to accrue 4.0 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 56.6% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 7th-least pass-oriented team in the league has been the Philadelphia Eagles.

The projections expect the Eagles to run the 10th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Saquon Barkley's 20.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 27.4.

Saquon Barkley grades out as one of the worst running backs in the league at generating extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a measly 6.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 23rd percentile.

This year, the fierce Bengals defense has yielded the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing RBs: a paltry 5.5 yards.

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