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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Carries
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-106/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -121.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 7.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard approach.
  • The model projects the Eagles as the most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 49.5% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect Saquon Barkley to total 19.6 rush attempts in this game, on balance, putting him in the 99th percentile among RBs.
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, New York's collection of safeties has been terrible this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in the league. in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 7th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Eagles.
  • Saquon Barkley has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this year, staying on the field for 82.7% of snaps compared to just 69.8% last year.

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