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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Carries
Player Prop Week 4

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles

Saquon Barkley Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a running game script.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Eagles to run on 49.0% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest clip on the slate this week.

The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a staggering 59.4 per game on average).

In this game, Saquon Barkley is anticipated by the projection model to land in the 100th percentile among running backs with 19.3 carries.

Saquon Barkley has received 62.4% of his team's run game usage this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles offensive strategy to skew 2.8% more towards the passing attack than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays.

The model projects this game to see the fewest plays run among all games this week at 122.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers linebackers project as the 5th-best unit in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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