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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -165.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Eagles being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.
  • The projections expect the Eagles as the most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 50.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect the Eagles to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.2 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Eagles have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 59.5 plays per game.
  • The projections expect Saquon Barkley to notch 19.4 carries in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Philadelphia Eagles feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo, and the model projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • The Los Angeles Rams safeties project as the 7th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

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