Saquon Barkley Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Carries

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 16, 2025

Updated Dec 20, 2025 9:12 PM EST

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-138/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -143 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A running game script is suggested by the Eagles being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 3rd-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 48.8% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects Saquon Barkley to accrue 19.7 rush attempts in this game, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile among RBs.
Out of all RBs, Saquon Barkley ranks in the 94th percentile for rush attempts this year, comprising 65.2% of the workload in his team's running game.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.32 seconds per play.
As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Washington's group of DEs has been terrific this year, profiling as the 7th-best in the NFL.

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