Saquon Barkley Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Carries

Philadelphia Eagles vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 15, 2025

Updated Dec 14, 2025 8:37 PM EST

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 12.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a heavy favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to run on 51.9% of their opportunities: the highest clip among all teams this week.
The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
The model projects Saquon Barkley to accrue 21.5 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 99th percentile among running backs.
The Las Vegas Raiders defensive tackles project as the 3rd-worst group of DTs in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

Favors Under

Based on the game dynamics and play styles of each team, our trusted projections expect this game (with an average of 26.68 seconds per play) will have the 11th-worst tempo out of all the games this week.
The 7th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Eagles this year (a lowly 54.0 per game on average).
Saquon Barkley has been a more important option in his team's offense this season, staying on the field for 80.3% of snaps vs just 69.8% last season.

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