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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Carries
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Chargers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+102/-119).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -119.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to run on 47.2% of their plays: the 5th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect Saquon Barkley to earn 17.5 carries in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the model to see just 124.9 offensive plays called: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 53.5 per game on average).
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) generally mean increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and lower ground volume.
  • Saquon Barkley has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this year, staying on the field for 80.2% of snaps vs just 69.8% last year.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Los Angeles's collection of DTs has been excellent this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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