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Sammy Watkins
NFL · Player Props
Sammy Watkins
WR · Green Bay Packers
Receptions
Green Bay Packers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 11, 2022 Updated Nov 18, 2022 1:16 AM UTC
NFL Props Sammy Watkins Receptions

Sammy Watkins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -145.

Favors Over
  • Opposing teams have averaged 43.8 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the NFL.
  • Sammy Watkins has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (64.9% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (48.7%).
  • The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • Sammy Watkins's ball-catching skills have gotten better this year, with his Completion% increasing from 59.8% to 65.6%.
  • The Tennessee Titans pass defense has given up the 4th-highest Completion% in football (70.2%) to WRs this year (70.2%).
Favors Under
  • The Packers are a 3-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans safeties rank as the 3rd-best unit in football this year in covering receivers.
  • The Green Bay Packers O-line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.44 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.
  • The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
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