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Samaje Perine

Samaje Perine Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Samaje Perine Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+310/-360).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +305 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +310.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bengals may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and call more carries) since they be rolling out backup quarterback Joe Flacco.
  • This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Bengals, who are -3-point underdogs.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bengals to pass on 66.3% of their opportunities: the highest clip on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.2% red zone pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 134.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have run the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 52.6 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Chicago Bears, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 28.0 per game) this year.
  • While Samaje Perine has been responsible for 13.6% of his team's red zone carries in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in Cincinnati's rushing attack near the goal line this week at 29.0%.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass game stats across the board.
  • Samaje Perine's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 85.9% to 80.2%.

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