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Samaje Perine

Samaje Perine Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Cincinnati Bengals vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Samaje Perine Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1050/-2500).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1450 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -2500.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bengals will be forced to utilize backup QB Jake Browning in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Bengals being a big -10-point underdog in this game.
  • The projections expect the Bengals as the most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 66.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-focused offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 60.5% red zone pass rate.
  • This year, Samaje Perine has not caught any receiving TDs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are anticipated by the model to run just 61.5 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Bengals this year (just 48.2 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Detroit Lions, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.8 per game) this year.
  • With a dismal 0.0% Red Zone Target% (1st percentile) this year, Samaje Perine rates as one of the RB receiving threats with the lowest volume near the end zone in the league.
  • Samaje Perine's 4.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 9.4.

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