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Samaje Perine

Samaje Perine Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals

Samaje Perine Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1050/-5000).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1650 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -5000.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals will be rolling out backup QB Jake Browning in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The Bengals are a big 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Bengals as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 59.6% red zone pass rate.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a dismal 0.0% Red Zone Target Rate (1st percentile) this year, Samaje Perine places among the RB receiving threats with the smallest workloads near the end zone in the NFL.

In regards to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Bengals profiles as the worst in the league since the start of last season.

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