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Samaje Perine

Samaje Perine Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Samaje Perine Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+178/-205).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -186 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -205.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Bengals to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 61.4% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the most pass-centric team in the league near the end zone (64.7% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Cincinnati Bengals.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Bengals are projected by our trusted projection set to run 67.2 plays on offense in this contest: the 2nd-highest number among all teams this week.
  • This year, the deficient Arizona Cardinals defense has surrendered a colossal 0.33 TDs through the air per game to opposing running backs: the 3rd-largest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread suggests an extreme rushing game script for the Bengals, who are a massive favorite by 7.5 points.
  • Samaje Perine has been been lightly used his team's offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of just 1.4% this year, which places him in the 23rd percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • In regards to air yards, Samaje Perine grades out in the lowly 20th percentile among RBs this year, totaling just -2.0 per game.
  • The Cincinnati O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • Samaje Perine does not have any receiving touchdowns this year.

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