Samaje Perine Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Samaje Perine

NFL · Player Props

Samaje Perine

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Receptions

Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 16, 2025

Updated Dec 22, 2025 12:27 AM UTC

Analysis

Samaje Perine Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-233/+180).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bengals to pass on 62.4% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
The Dolphins pass defense has yielded the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (90.4%) vs. RBs this year (90.4%).
The Miami defensive ends profile as the worst group of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

Favors Under

This game's line suggests a running game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 3.5 points.
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bengals are predicted by the projection model to call just 61.2 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Miami Dolphins, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.1 per game) this year.
Samaje Perine's 4.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 9.4.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Bengals ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.

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