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Samaje Perine

Samaje Perine Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Samaje Perine Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bengals are a giant 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 66.4% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to see 129.7 offensive plays called: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Ravens defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (37.9 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 7th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Bengals this year (a measly 54.2 per game on average).
  • Samaje Perine's 4.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 9.4.
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Cincinnati Bengals profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year.
  • Samaje Perine's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 86.0% to 80.4%.
  • This year, the tough Baltimore Ravens defense has yielded a mere 78.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 7th-best rate in the NFL.

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