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Samaje Perine

Samaje Perine Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

Samaje Perine Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 64.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

Last year, the shaky Cleveland Browns pass defense has yielded a massive 86.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 9th-largest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense last year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.

The Cincinnati offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL last year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

The Cleveland defensive ends grade out as the 3rd-best unit in football last year with their pass rush.

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