Samaje Perine Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Samaje Perine

NFL · Player Props

Samaje Perine

RB · Denver Broncos

Receptions

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 12, 2023 11:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Samaje Perine Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Broncos being a a giant -10.5-point underdog this week.
Samaje Perine's 47.1% Route Participation Rate this year conveys a a noteable gain in his passing offense usage over last year's 35.5% mark.
The leading projections forecast Samaje Perine to earn 3.0 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Samaje Perine has been among the best pass-game running backs this year, averaging an outstanding 3.0 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 89th percentile.
Samaje Perine's 93.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this year indicates a a noteworthy improvement in his receiving talent over last year's 81.4% figure.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 62.0 total plays in this game: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
The Broncos have called the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.
When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Kansas City's safety corps has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the 10th-best in the NFL.

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