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Samaje Perine

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Cincinnati Bengals vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Samaje Perine Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-106/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cincinnati Bengals may take to the air less in this week's game (and hand the ball off more) because they be rolling out backup quarterback Joe Flacco.
  • The projections expect the Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to see 132.0 plays on offense called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • Samaje Perine profiles as one of the leading running backs in the league at picking up extra yardage in the passing game, averaging an exceptional 8.29 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 89th percentile.
  • The Jets linebackers grade out as the 2nd-worst LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is implied by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The 5th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (a mere 52.6 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Jets, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 30.6 per game) this year.
  • The Cincinnati offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • Samaje Perine has accumulated substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (4.0) this year than he did last year (17.0).

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