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Samaje Perine Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-111/-111).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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At a -3-point disadvantage, the Bengals are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their usual approach.Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bengals to pass on 65.8% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest frequency among all teams this week.Our trusted projections expect the Bengals offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.24 seconds per snap.The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (38.5 per game) this year.The Ravens defense has given up the 5th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (41.0) versus RBs this year.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Bengals offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.Samaje Perine's 5.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season illustrates an impressive drop-off in his pass-catching talent over last season's 17.0 rate.Samaje Perine's pass-game efficiency has worsened this season, totaling a mere 4.66 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.95 rate last season.Samaje Perine's skills in generating extra yardage have worsened this year, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 10.07 mark last year.As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Baltimore's collection of safeties has been tremendous this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
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