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Samaje Perine

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Denver Broncos vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Samaje Perine Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Samaje Perine has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 8.6% since the start of last season, which places him in the 78th percentile among RBs.
  • Samaje Perine has been among the leading pass-game running backs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 19.0 yards per game while grading out in the 81st percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Sean Payton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.4% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • The Broncos are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos as the 9th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 54.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense to be the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 30.43 seconds per play.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season: 3rd-least in football.

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