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Samaje Perine

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Detroit Lions vs Denver Broncos

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Broncos being a -4.5-point underdog in this game.

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

The projections expect Samaje Perine to garner 3.4 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile among RBs.

Samaje Perine's 18.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 12.2.

When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Denver Broncos ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 58.6% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-least pass-focused team in the league has been the Denver Broncos.

Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to run the 2nd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Denver Broncos have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.

This year, the strong Detroit Lions defense has surrendered a mere 70.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 2nd-smallest rate in the league.

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