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Sam LaPorta Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sam LaPorta Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+170/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +192 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

With a high 16.1% Red Zone Target Rate (78th percentile) this year, Sam LaPorta stands among the tight ends with the highest volume near the goal line in football.

Sam LaPorta's 38.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) ranks among the league leaders: 90th percentile for TEs.

Sam LaPorta's ball-catching skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 77.8% to 87.5%.

Sam LaPorta ranks in the 75th percentile among tight ends when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an impressive 0.29 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 6 points.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to pass on 57.1% of their plays: the 6th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Lions to be the 6th-most run-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 47.1% red zone run rate.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 124.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

After accumulating 41.0 air yards per game last year, Sam LaPorta has posted significant losses this year, now boasting 29.0 per game.

More Sam LaPorta Player Props

Sam LaPorta TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 7

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sam LaPorta Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7