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Sam LaPorta Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions

Sam LaPorta Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+235/-280).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +245 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +235.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Sam LaPorta has been a key part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 14.3% this year, which puts him in the 76th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Sam LaPorta slots into the 90th percentile for tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) with an astounding 37.3 figure this year.

Sam LaPorta's 84.9% Adjusted Catch% this year indicates a remarkable growth in his receiving prowess over last year's 77.8% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 6th-most run-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 46.7% red zone run rate.

At the moment, the most sluggish paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Lions.

Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Chiefs, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.2 per game) this year.

Sam LaPorta has accrued quite a few less air yards this season (28.0 per game) than he did last season (41.0 per game).

When talking about pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Lions profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.

More Sam LaPorta Player Props

Sam LaPorta TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions

Sam LaPorta Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6