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Sam LaPorta

Sam LaPorta Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Sam LaPorta Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +113 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Sam LaPorta has run a route on 81.5% of his offense's passing plays this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile among tight ends.
  • Our trusted projections expect Sam LaPorta to garner 6.1 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • Sam LaPorta grades out as one of the best tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging a fantastic 3.8 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 93rd percentile.
  • Sam LaPorta's ball-catching skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 77.8% to 87.5%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 6 points.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to pass on 57.1% of their plays: the 6th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 124.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Detroit Lions ranks as the worst in the league this year.
  • When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Tampa Bay's unit has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 8th-best in the NFL.

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