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Sam LaPorta

Sam LaPorta Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

Sam LaPorta Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+121/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

With an exceptional 80.5% Route% (94th percentile) since the start of last season, Sam LaPorta places as one of the TEs with the most usage in the league.

In this week's contest, Sam LaPorta is predicted by the projection model to position himself in the 94th percentile among tight ends with 6.2 targets.

Sam LaPorta is positioned as one of the top pass-game tight ends since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 3.9 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 86th percentile.

When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Chicago's collection of LBs has been atrocious since the start of last season, projecting as the 8th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.

The model projects the Lions to be the 11th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 57.0% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

At the present time, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Detroit Lions.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense since the start of last season: 6th-fewest in the league.

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