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Sam LaPorta Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Detroit Lions

Sam LaPorta Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-147).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -152 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a high 81.7% Route Participation% (92nd percentile) this year, Sam LaPorta stands as one of the TEs with the most usage in football.

The leading projections forecast Sam LaPorta to garner 5.6 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 81st percentile when it comes to TEs.

Sam LaPorta comes in as one of the top pass-catching TEs this year, averaging an outstanding 4.0 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 87th percentile.

Sam LaPorta's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 77.8% to 89.3%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions rank as the 6th-least pass-centric team in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.8% pass rate.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to have only 125.3 plays on offense called: the fewest out of all the games this week.

This year, the daunting Philadelphia Eagles defense has conceded a paltry 69.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 4th-best rate in football.

The Eagles linebackers rank as the best group of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

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Sam LaPorta ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Detroit Lions

Sam LaPorta Receptions
Player Prop Week 11