My Account Log Out
 
 
Sam LaPorta

Sam LaPorta Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Sam LaPorta Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-148).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +119 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a sizeable 82.9% Route Participation Rate (94th percentile) this year, Sam LaPorta places as one of the TEs with the highest volume in football.
  • In this week's game, Sam LaPorta is anticipated by our trusted projection set to slot into the 81st percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.5 targets.
  • Sam LaPorta comes in as one of the best TE receiving threats this year, averaging an excellent 3.5 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 88th percentile.
  • Sam LaPorta's sure-handedness have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 77.8% to 87.7%.
  • This year, the poor Commanders pass defense has surrendered a whopping 82.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 6th-highest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are overwhelmingly favored by 8 points.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions as the 5th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.2% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 3rd-slowest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™