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Sam LaPorta
NFL · Player Props
Sam LaPorta
TE · Detroit Lions
Receptions
Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers · Week 12, 2023 Updated Nov 23, 2023 5:01 PM UTC
NFL Props Sam LaPorta Receptions

Sam LaPorta Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -125.

Favors Over
  • The 6th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Lions this year (a massive 60.9 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Our trusted projections expect Sam LaPorta to earn 6.7 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 95th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • Sam LaPorta's 45.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 95th percentile for tight ends.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Detroit Lions ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year.
Favors Under
  • An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being a giant 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 127.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Green Bay Packers, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 33.4 per game) this year.
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