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Sam LaPorta

Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 47.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Sam LaPorta has run a route on 81.5% of his offense's passing plays this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile among tight ends.
  • Our trusted projections expect Sam LaPorta to garner 6.1 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • With an outstanding 46.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (93rd percentile) this year, Sam LaPorta rates among the top pass-game TEs in the NFL.
  • Sam LaPorta's ball-catching skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 77.8% to 87.5%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 6 points.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to pass on 57.1% of their plays: the 6th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 124.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • After accumulating 41.0 air yards per game last year, Sam LaPorta has posted significant losses this year, now boasting 29.0 per game.
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Detroit Lions ranks as the worst in the league this year.

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