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Sam LaPorta

Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Cincinnati Bengals vs Detroit Lions

Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-120/+109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 38.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing teams have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 8th-most in the league.

With an elite 81.5% Route% (92nd percentile) this year, Sam LaPorta stands among the TEs with the most usage in the NFL.

This week, Sam LaPorta is forecasted by the projection model to place in the 84th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.2 targets.

Sam LaPorta's 86.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this season shows a noteable boost in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 77.8% mark.

Sam LaPorta checks in as one of the most effective receivers in the NFL among TEs, averaging an impressive 9.08 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 85th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are a massive favorite by 10 points.

Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 3rd-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

After accumulating 41.0 air yards per game last season, Sam LaPorta has fallen off this season, currently averaging 28.0 per game.

Sam LaPorta has compiled substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (35.0) this year than he did last year (45.0).

More Sam LaPorta Player Props

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