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Sam LaPorta

Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-109/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 45.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 44.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

With an exceptional 80.5% Route% (94th percentile) since the start of last season, Sam LaPorta places as one of the TEs with the most usage in the league.

In this week's contest, Sam LaPorta is predicted by the projection model to position himself in the 94th percentile among tight ends with 6.2 targets.

Sam LaPorta has notched a monstrous 41.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile among tight ends.

With an excellent 47.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (94th percentile) since the start of last season, Sam LaPorta ranks among the best pass-game tight ends in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.

The model projects the Lions to be the 11th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 57.0% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

At the present time, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Detroit Lions.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense since the start of last season: 6th-fewest in the league.

Sam LaPorta grades out as one of the weakest TEs in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 2nd percentile.

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