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Sam LaPorta

Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 38.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 42.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a high 81.7% Route Participation% (92nd percentile) this year, Sam LaPorta stands as one of the TEs with the most usage in football.
  • The leading projections forecast Sam LaPorta to garner 5.6 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 81st percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • Sam LaPorta rates as one of the best tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging an impressive 46.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 91st percentile.
  • Sam LaPorta's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 77.8% to 89.3%.
  • Sam LaPorta's 10.3 adjusted yards per target this season conveys a significant gain in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 9.2 figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions rank as the 6th-least pass-centric team in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.8% pass rate.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to have only 125.3 plays on offense called: the fewest out of all the games this week.
  • After accruing 41.0 air yards per game last year, Sam LaPorta has undergone a big decline this year, currently pacing 28.0 per game.
  • Sam LaPorta's ability to generate extra yardage has diminished this year, accumulating a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 5.45 mark last year.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles defense has surrendered the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 38.0) to TEs this year.

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