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Sam LaPorta

Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-115/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 45.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a sizeable 82.9% Route Participation Rate (94th percentile) this year, Sam LaPorta places as one of the TEs with the highest volume in football.
  • In this week's game, Sam LaPorta is anticipated by our trusted projection set to slot into the 81st percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.5 targets.
  • With an excellent 41.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (89th percentile) this year, Sam LaPorta ranks as one of the best TE receiving threats in football.
  • Sam LaPorta's sure-handedness have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 77.8% to 87.7%.
  • Sam LaPorta's 10.2 adjusted yards per target this year represents a material growth in his receiving prowess over last year's 9.2 rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are overwhelmingly favored by 8 points.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions as the 5th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.2% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 3rd-slowest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.
  • Sam LaPorta has totaled quite a few less air yards this year (30.0 per game) than he did last year (41.0 per game).
  • Sam LaPorta's ability to grind out extra yardage has declined this season, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.45 rate last season.

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