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Sam Howell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.6 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and increased ground volume.With a terrific tally of 6.1 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (75th percentile), Sam Howell ranks as one of the leading rushing QBs in football this year.With an impressive total of 4.70 yards-after-contact (100th percentile), Sam Howell ranks among the top rushing quarterbacks in the NFL this year.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Commanders are a big 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.Our trusted projections expect the Commanders to be the least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 33.6% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.When talking about run support (and the effect it has on all run game statistics), the offensive line of the Washington Commanders profiles as the 9th-worst in football last year.When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Dallas's group of DEs has been phenomenal this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
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