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Sam Howell

Sam Howell Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Sam Howell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -14-point disadvantage, the Commanders are huge underdogs in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their typical approach.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Commanders to run on 32.1% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see just 125.3 total plays run: the fewest among all games this week.
  • The Commanders offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL last year at opening holes for rushers.
  • Opposing offenses have run for the 2nd-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 86.0 per game) against the 49ers defense this year.

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