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Sam Howell

Sam Howell Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

Sam Howell Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 221.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 215.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 221.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders are a big 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The projections expect the Commanders to be the most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 66.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.6 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The predictive model expects Sam Howell to attempt 39.1 passes in this week's game, on average: the 3rd-most out of all quarterbacks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and increased ground volume.

Opposing teams have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cowboys defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.

Sam Howell has been one of the least on-target QBs in the league this year with a 61.9% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 20th percentile.

With a subpar 6.55 adjusted yards-per-target (20th percentile) this year, Sam Howell stands among the least efficient quarterbacks in football.

Opposing QBs have thrown for the 5th-fewest yards in the league (just 202.0 adjusted yards per game) versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.

More Sam Howell Player Props

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