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Sam Howell

Sam Howell Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Sam Howell Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 221.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 215.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 221.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Commanders are a big 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • The projections expect the Commanders to be the most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 66.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.6 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects Sam Howell to attempt 39.1 passes in this week's game, on average: the 3rd-most out of all quarterbacks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and increased ground volume.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cowboys defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.
  • Sam Howell has been one of the least on-target QBs in the league this year with a 61.9% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 20th percentile.
  • With a subpar 6.55 adjusted yards-per-target (20th percentile) this year, Sam Howell stands among the least efficient quarterbacks in football.
  • Opposing QBs have thrown for the 5th-fewest yards in the league (just 202.0 adjusted yards per game) versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.

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