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Sam Howell

Sam Howell Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Washington Commanders

Sam Howell Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 210.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 213.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 210.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Washington Commanders to pass on 62.8% of their plays: the 2nd-highest clip on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 3rd-quickest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.41 seconds per play.

Sam Howell has attempted 40.4 passes per game this year, ranking in the 100th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

With an outstanding rate of 257.0 adjusted passing yards per game (77th percentile), Sam Howell ranks among the best passers in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Jets defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.

The New York Jets pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, allowing 6.56 adjusted yards-per-target: the 2nd-fewest in football.

As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, New York's collection of CBs has been fantastic this year, ranking as the best in the NFL.

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