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Sam Howell Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-210/+165).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -190 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -210.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Commanders are a big 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.The projections expect the Commanders to be the most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 66.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.6 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.The predictive model expects Sam Howell to attempt 39.1 passes in this week's game, on average: the 3rd-most out of all quarterbacks.Sam Howell has registered 1.22 interceptions per game this year, ranking in the 3rd percentile among quarterbacks.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and increased ground volume.Opposing teams have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cowboys defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.Dallas's defense profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year when it comes to making interceptions, accumulating 0.94 per game.As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Dallas's LB corps has been terrific this year, projecting as the 6th-best in the league.
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