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Sam Howell

Sam Howell Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Sam Howell Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -14-point disadvantage, the Commanders are huge underdogs in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their typical approach.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Commanders to run on 32.1% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see just 125.3 total plays run: the fewest among all games this week.
  • The Commanders offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL last year at opening holes for rushers.
  • The 49ers linebackers profile as the best group of LBs in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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