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Sam Howell

Sam Howell Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Washington Commanders vs Arizona Cardinals

Sam Howell Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders are a heavy 7-point favorite in this week's game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 9th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 44.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 6th-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 27.73 seconds per snap.

THE BLITZ projects Sam Howell to earn 6.3 carries in this game, on average: the 7th-most of all QBs.

THE BLITZ projects Sam Howell to be a much bigger part of his team's run game this week (22.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (11.8% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Washington Commanders will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 9.7% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).

The Washington Commanders O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.

The Arizona Cardinals safeties grade out as the 3rd-best group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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