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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Seattle Seahawks vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Sam Darnold Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+760/-1150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1100 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In terms of a defense's influence on tempo, the Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed opposing squads to play 8th-quickest in the league (in a neutral context) this year at 27.87 seconds per play.
  • Sam Darnold's 69.3% Adjusted Completion% this season shows an impressive gain in his throwing accuracy over last season's 66.2% mark.
  • 0: the number of TDs on the ground Sam Darnold has scored this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seahawks to pass on 53.5% of their downs: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect the Seahawks to be the 3rd-most run-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 49.7% red zone run rate.
  • In this week's contest, Sam Darnold is anticipated by the projection model to wind up with the 4th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 32.1.
  • Our trusted projections expect Sam Darnold to be a much bigger part of his offense's ground game near the goal line in this contest (5.6% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).

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