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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks

Sam Darnold Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+720/-1550).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1300 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1550.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Seahawks offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.80 seconds per snap.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

The Cardinals defense has been something of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.9 per game) since the start of last season.

Sam Darnold's 70.7% Adjusted Completion% this season shows a significant growth in his passing accuracy over last season's 66.2% rate.

This year, Sam Darnold has not scored any touchdowns on the ground.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Seahawks offensive blueprint to skew 7.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak now calling the plays.

At the moment, the 3rd-most run-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (49.6% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Seattle Seahawks.

While Sam Darnold has been responsible for 0.0% of his offense's red zone run game usage in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in Seattle's run game near the end zone this week at 9.0%.

The Seattle offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

The Cardinals defense has allowed the 2nd-fewest TDs through the air in the league: 1.20 per game since the start of last season.

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