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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 21

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Sam Darnold Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1300/-1500).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2000 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1500.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to see 131.0 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
  • Sam Darnold is not much of a runner and has accounted for a lowly 0.0% of his offense's carries near the end zone this year, placing him in the 2nd percentile when it comes to QBs.
  • With a remarkable 68.0% Adjusted Completion% (84th percentile) this year, Sam Darnold places as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in football.
  • The rushing touchdown column reads "0" on Sam Darnold's player page this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to pass on 56.5% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to be the 3rd-most run-heavy team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 50.5% red zone run rate.
  • The 8th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Seahawks this year (only 49.2 per game on average).
  • The projections expect Sam Darnold to throw 35.0 passes in this game, on balance: the 2nd-fewest among all QBs.
  • When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Los Angeles's unit has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the best in football.

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