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Sam Darnold Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks

Sam Darnold Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1050/-2400).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2800 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -2400.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Seahawks are predicted by the predictive model to run 65.7 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Sam Darnold is not a mobile quarterback and has accounted for a measly 0.0% of his offense's carries in the red zone this year, ranking him in the 3rd percentile among quarterbacks.

Sam Darnold checks in as one of the most on-target passers in football this year with a remarkable 68.1% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 84th percentile.

Sam Darnold has not rushed for any TDs this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seahawks are a heavy 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to pass on 54.0% of their downs: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

At the present time, the most run-centric offense in football in the red zone (52.5% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Seattle Seahawks.

The Seahawks have run the 5th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 53.0 plays per game.

Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Atlanta Falcons, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.1 per game) this year.

More Sam Darnold Player Props

Sam Darnold TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 14

Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks

Sam Darnold Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14