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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold TD Passes
Player Prop Week 21

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Sam Darnold TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to see 131.0 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
  • With a remarkable 68.0% Adjusted Completion% (84th percentile) this year, Sam Darnold places as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to pass on 56.5% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect the Seahawks to be the least pass-oriented team in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 49.5% red zone pass rate.
  • The 8th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Seahawks this year (only 49.2 per game on average).
  • The projections expect Sam Darnold to throw 35.0 passes in this game, on balance: the 2nd-fewest among all QBs.
  • When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Los Angeles's unit has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the best in football.

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