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Sam Darnold TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17

Carolina Panthers vs Seattle Seahawks

Sam Darnold TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +103 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

With a remarkable 67.6% Adjusted Completion% (81st percentile) this year, Sam Darnold rates as one of the most accurate QBs in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seahawks are a big 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 54.1% of their chances: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects the Seahawks to be the 4th-least pass-heavy team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 50.2% red zone pass rate.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are anticipated by the model to call only 63.3 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.

The Seahawks have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 53.4 plays per game.

More Sam Darnold Player Props

Sam Darnold TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 17

Carolina Panthers vs Seattle Seahawks

Sam Darnold TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17