reorder

Sam Darnold TD Passes
Player Prop Week 14

Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks

Sam Darnold TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-113/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Seahawks are predicted by the predictive model to run 65.7 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Sam Darnold checks in as one of the most on-target passers in football this year with a remarkable 68.1% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 84th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seahawks are a heavy 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to pass on 54.0% of their downs: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to be the least pass-focused team in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 47.5% red zone pass rate.

The Seahawks have run the 5th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 53.0 plays per game.

Sam Darnold has attempted a mere 26.5 passes per game this year, ranking in the 24th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

More Sam Darnold Player Props

Sam Darnold TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 14

Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks

Sam Darnold TD Passes
Player Prop Week 14