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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold TD Passes
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Sam Darnold TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-123/-104).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Rams defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (36.0 per game) this year.
  • Sam Darnold's passing accuracy has gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 66.2% to 71.1%.
  • With a stellar rate of 1.70 per game (76th percentile), Sam Darnold stands among the best touchdown passers in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 2nd-least pass-centric team in the league in the red zone (47.9% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Seahawks.
  • At the moment, the 8th-most sluggish paced offense in the league (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Seattle Seahawks.
  • Sam Darnold has attempted a measly 24.2 passes per game this year, checking in at the 22nd percentile when it comes to QBs.
  • This year, the tough Los Angeles Rams defense has yielded a puny 1.33 TDs through the air per game to opposing QBs: the 9th-best rate in football.
  • The Rams linebackers grade out as the 6th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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