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Sam Darnold Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Seattle Seahawks vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Seahawks are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.

The predictive model expects the Seahawks as the 4th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 46.5% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

In terms of a defense's influence on tempo, the Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed opposing squads to play 8th-quickest in the league (in a neutral context) this year at 27.87 seconds per play.

The leading projections forecast Sam Darnold to be a much bigger part of his team's run game in this game (9.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (3.2% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects Sam Darnold to garner 2.8 rush attempts in this game, on average: the 8th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

Sam Darnold's 8.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season reflects a substantial reduction in his running ability over last season's 14.0 mark.

This year, the strong Buccaneers run defense has conceded a feeble 96.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 8th-best in the NFL.

As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Tampa Bay's group of safeties has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

More Sam Darnold Player Props

Sam Darnold Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 5

Seattle Seahawks vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5