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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-102/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -124 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Seahawks offensive blueprint to skew 7.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak now calling the plays.

Right now, the 4th-most run-centric team in the league (42.1% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Seattle Seahawks.

The predictive model expects the Seahawks offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.80 seconds per snap.

While Sam Darnold has received 3.3% of his offense's carries in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more important option in Seattle's run game in this game at 10.0%.

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Arizona's DE corps has been dreadful since the start of last season, projecting as the 6th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

In registering a puny 0.5 carries per game this year, Sam Darnold slots in among the bottom QBs in the NFL (3rd percentile) in regards to rushing usage.

Sam Darnold has run for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (3.0) this year than he did last year (14.0).

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