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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Seattle Seahawks vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Sam Darnold Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+101/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -124 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Seattle Seahawks boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 6.7% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Seahawks, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7 points.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Seahawks to run on 49.0% of their chances: the 3rd-highest clip among all teams this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to have 138.9 offensive plays run: the highest number on the slate this week.
  • Since the start of last season, the formidable New Orleans Saints run defense has surrendered a meager 5.01 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing teams: the 28th-lowest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.
  • After accounting for 10.9% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, Sam Darnold has been less involved in the rushing attack this season, now sitting at only 3.8%.

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